By Peter Zeihan
Globalization led to the rise of China as a manufacturing powerhouse, since finding the lowest cost producer was the priority. However, deglobalization, coupled with China’s demographic decline and aging workforce, has both eroded that competitive advantage and changed everyone’s priorities about cost. So, what happens next?
With China fading from the spotlight, Western countries will become more protectionist, which means manufacturing will be coming back home to places like the US and Europe. But that’s going to bring a while slew of problems with it.
While this transition will create significant job growth and increase the political power of labor, it will also bring high inflation and inefficiencies. This will force highly skilled workers to take on tasks that were historically outsourced to cheaper labor markets. So, if you thought inflation was bad now, just wait…
Peter Zeihan is a world expert in geopolitics: the study of how place impacts financial, economic, cultural, political, and military developments.
He presents customized executive briefings to a wide array of audiences including financial professionals, Fortune 500 firms, energy investors, and a mix of industrial, power, agricultural, and consulting associations and corporations.
Mr. Zeihan has been featured in, and cited by, numerous newspapers and broadcasts including The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, AP, Bloomberg, CNN, ABC, The New York Times, Fox News, and MarketWatch.