Globalization led to the rise of China as a manufacturing powerhouse, since finding the lowest cost producer was the priority. However, deglobalization, coupled with China’s demographic decline and aging workforce, has both eroded that competitive advantage and changed everyone’s priorities about cost. So, what happens next?
Peter Zeihan
A New War in Ukraine
There are lots of moving parts in the Ukraine War right now, so let’s do a little recap of everything that’s going on. There are four big ones…
First up is the Ukrainian Offensive in Kursk. One of my recent videos covered this in more detail, but essentially the Ukrainians have poked into Russian territory and caused significant Russian casualties, destroyed a number of bridges, and cut off key supply lines. They are also bringing some heavy artillery and equipment along with them that will impact the front lines.
Can the Six-Day Work Week Save Greece?
We’re all aware of Greece’s economic struggles over the past few decades, but that instability has been amplified by demographic problems. As the Greek government attempts to balance out economic activity (made up of consumption, production, capital and labor), they’ve chosen labor as the factor that will have to compromise. Obviously a six-day work week is going to piss off some people, but what else can they do?
Can Ukraine Claim the Skies and Destroy Russian Air Defenses?
Ukraine is figuring out how to maximize the effectiveness of its weapons (both NATO-supplied and domestic), allowing them to strike deep within Russian territory. Some notable “hits” include destroying a strategic bomber and refinery, sinking a sub, and taking out numerous air defense systems.
The Future of France and the EU
The EU was established to promote unity and peace, but times have changed and priorities have shifted. So, what does the future of the European Union look like and how does France fit into the mix?
The EU’s expansion throughout the years has involved integrating some diverse countries, at first for stability and later for economic and political strength. Recent challenges like Brexit, a financial crisis, and the Ukraine War have demanded a shift from an economic focus, to a political and military focus.
Italy Is Running out of Young People!
While the Italians may have mastered the arts of pasta, wine and gelato, they should have been spending less time in the kitchen and more in…another room. That’s right, we’re looking at the demographic problems facing Italy, and Genoa will be our example.
Russians In Space…Or Not!
Previously, I talked about how Ukraine has been targeting Russian air infrastructure to prepare for the arrival of their F-16s. Well, Ukraine launched a rocket attack on occupied Crimea and destroyed some air defenses and one of Russia’s deep space satellites…
Ukraine Attacks Belgorod, Russia
From the beginning of the Ukraine War, the Western nations have placed restrictions on how their weapons donations to Ukraine can be used. Specifically, Western nations have been concerned that if Ukraine targets Russian forces within Russia, escalation may be unavoidable. But recent events have forced a change of calculus in the West.
The humanitarian crisis in Gaza reaching critical levels
I’ve avoided talking about the Israel and Gaza conflict as much a possible (given that there’s no favorable outcomes for anyone involved), but some recent changes have forced my hand.
The humanitarian crisis in Gaza is reaching critical levels due to massive destruction and severe shortages of resources. The real kicker is Israel’s renewed offensive in northern Gaza; the presence of Hamas fighters and bodies of hostages in previously “cleared” areas has revealed some MASSIVE shortcomings in Israeli intelligence.
Where will China Be Heading in World Energy Crisis?
We’ve got some more interview style questions for you today!
We’ll be focusing on China, specifically looking at the potential for Chinese energy independence and if any countries surrounding China should be worried about an invasion/resource grab.
While it may appear that the Chinese have access to significant shale oil deposits, the reality of their energy outlook isn’t so pretty.